Hedging a Forex News Risk Event Using Binary Options
In the past few days I have been writing all about how excited I am about my Forex hedging strategies using Forex binary options. If you have read my previous posts on this blog, then by now you are familiar with how to hedge a breakout of a Forex instrument using binary options. But just to recap, binary options hedging offers a better alternative to traditional stop-losses. The reason they protect you better than stop-losses is that stop-losses lose money when they are hit and a binary option hedge does not.
Its that simple, The principal behind this is that binary option hedges shift the risk from below the breakout point to above it. The most attractive feature of this risk-shift is that trader momentum works in your favor above the breakout point. Have a look at my previous posts if this is not clear.
Today I will talk about another binary option hedging strategy. This strategy is similar to the strategy we have been discussing. The only difference is that the timing of both your Forex trade and your binary option hedge will be based on a a rally following a Forex news risk event, rather than a breakout of a resistance point.
In this example, today Great Britain released an important news data, the CPI y/y. Immediately after the news release, which attested to a better than expected rise in Great Britain’s CPI, the GBPUSD rallied as expected. Just after buying a long position on the GBPUSD, I placed a binary option hedge on www.Tradesmarter.com ’s binary option trading site. As in my previous posts about hedging, this hedge was a position opposite to the Forex position that I was holding, in other words a $100 PUT GBPUSD binary option trade. What this effectively achieved was to provide me with a $70 buffer zone below the breakout point. Anywhere within that buffer zone, within a $70 loss on my long Forex position, I would have been protected against a breakout failure without losing any money. A stop-loss, on the other hand, would have resulted in losses in case it was hit after a breakout failure or a shake-out (a minor test of the breakout point).
We have been talking about trader momentum as an important element in making this strategy successful. As you can see in the image and in examples in my previous posts, as long as the breakout failure is minor, selling momentum will be minor in my hedged buffer zone, just below the breakout point. As soon as the breakout re-occurs after testing the breakout point, trader buying momentum will work in our favor by quickly providing us the gains we need to cover the cost of the binary option hedge, $85.
In short, trader momentum works in a highly correlated nature with binary option hedging. This makes binary option hedging a more successful strategy for protecting against minor breakout failures than a traditional stop-loss.
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